Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GIRONA (SPAIN), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	Jesper De Jong		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.45	1.5	Watch
	2.57	1.54
	2.57	1.55
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.56	1.47	Watch
	2.6	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.8)	1.51 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
37.6%

Pedro Martinez Portero
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jesper De Jong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Jesper De Jong - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. De Jong will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martinez Portero: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

De Jong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Martinez Portero will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
28.03.24	Jesper De Jong - Andrea Pellegrino	Pellegrino A. retired ✺
26.03.24	Jesper De Jong - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
19.03.24	Jesper De Jong - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Salvatore Caruso - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
20.02.24	August Holmgren - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 ?WLLW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
28.03.24	Marco Trungelliti - Pedro Martinez Portero	Trungelliti M. retired ✺
26.03.24	Vilius Gaubas - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
18.03.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
02.03.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?WLWL

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