Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Pune, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday


	Rina Saigo		Francesca Curmi

	1	2
	2.07	1.67
	2.54	1.44	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.05	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.85)	1.62 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rina Saigo
42.7%

Francesca Curmi
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rina Saigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rina Saigo's form might have worsened.

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesca Curmi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rina Saigo than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rina Saigo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesca Curmi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rina Saigo - Francesca Curmi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Curmi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Saigo is ranked WTA: 293. Curmi is ranked WTA: 342.

Saigo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Curmi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Curmi will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Rina Saigo - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Francesca Curmi - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rina Saigo
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Fangran Tian - Rina Saigo	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Rina Saigo - Peangtarn Plipuech	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.01.26	Rina Saigo - Carole Monnet	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Rina Saigo - Fangran Tian	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Jule Niemeier - Rina Saigo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLW
- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
04.02.26	Elizara Yaneva - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Justina Mikulskyte - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Nahia Berecoechea - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
12.12.25	Dune Vaissaud - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
11.12.25	Mara Gae - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW

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