Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Winnipeg 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Rio Noguchi		Charles Broom

	1	2
	1.72	2.00
	1.68	2.12
	1.81	2.09
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.80	2.04
	1.67	2.05	Watch
	1.70	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.65)	2.04 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
54.1%

Charles Broom
45.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Charles Broom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charles Broom than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Rio Noguchi - Charles Broom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 216. Broom is ranked ATP: 280.

Noguchi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Broom's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Noguchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Noguchi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Charles Broom - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
22.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Keegan Rice	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Braden Shick	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Mark Lajal - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Dhakshineswar Suresh	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW
- Charles Broom
ATP Challenger
22.07.26	Charles Broom - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Murphy Cassone - Charles Broom	Canceled ✺
13.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
20.06.26	Marcos Giron - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Titouan Droguet - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 W?LLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Charles Broom	2:1

Rio Noguchi - Charles Broom