Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Bu Yunchaokete		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.3	3.4
	1.30	3.30
	1.32	3.28
	1.35	3.43
	1.3	3.24	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.34	3.26	Watch
	1.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)	3.31 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
71.5%

Rio Noguchi
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Bu Yunchaokete - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Yunchaokete will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Noguchi will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 124. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 218.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Noguchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Yunchaokete is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yunchaokete won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.05%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.26	Quentin Halys - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Borna Gojo	Canceled ✺
18.07.26	Mark Lajal - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLW?L
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Alan Magadan - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Charles Broom	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Keegan Rice	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Braden Shick	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.04.24	Rio Noguchi - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0

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