Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PORTO (PORTUGAL) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday


	Robert Strombachs		Andrea Guerrieri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.55
	1.42	2.65
	1.5	2.54
	1.45	2.61	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.52)	2.59 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robert Strombachs
64.1%

Andrea Guerrieri
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robert Strombachs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robert Strombachs than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+2%)

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Preview

Strombachs is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Guerrieri is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guerrieri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Strombachs will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Strombachs won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Robert Strombachs
ATP Challenger
24.07.23	Robert Strombachs - Luca Potenza	1:2 ✺
23.07.23	Robert Strombachs - Maxime Mora	2:0 ✺
16.07.23	Robert Strombachs - Alberto Barroso Campos	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.07.23	Milan Welte - Robert Strombachs	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.07.23	Lucio Carnevalle - Robert Strombachs	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
23.07.23	Andrea Guerrieri - Ilya Snitari	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.06.23	Alexander Klintcharov - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
22.06.23	Pietro Pampanin - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
21.06.23	Sebastian Sorger - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
17.06.23	Manuel Mazza - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.02.23	Andrea Guerrieri - Robert Strombachs	0:2

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