Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday


	Robert Strombachs		Hamish Stewart

	1	2
			Watch
	2.28	1.56	Watch
	2.31	1.59
	5.76	1.12	Watch
	2.31	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.19)	1.46 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robert Strombachs
31.6%

Hamish Stewart
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robert Strombachs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Robert Strombachs's form might have worsened.

Hamish Stewart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamish Stewart's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robert Strombachs than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Robert Strombachs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamish Stewart than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamish Stewart, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Robert Strombachs - Hamish Stewart Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Strombachs will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Stewart will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stewart (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Strombachs is ranked ATP: 349. Stewart is ranked ATP: 385.

In recent matches, Strombachs has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stewart is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Stewart will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Stewart will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Strombachs won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Robert Strombachs
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Robert Strombachs - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Robert Strombachs - Michael Vrbensky	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Marko Topo - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Gabriele Piraino - Robert Strombachs	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Robert Strombachs - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWL
- Hamish Stewart
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Hamish Stewart	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.09.25	Hamish Stewart - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Simon Reveniau - Hamish Stewart	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Hamish Stewart - Pierre Delage	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Hamish Stewart - Dimitris Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.02.24	Hamish Stewart - Robert Strombachs	2:1
ITF Tournaments
18.01.24	Hamish Stewart - Robert Strombachs	2:1

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