Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Robert Strombachs		Michael Vrbensky

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	3.08	1.34	Watch
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.67	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.67)	1.8 ↓ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robert Strombachs
46.2%

Michael Vrbensky
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robert Strombachs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Robert Strombachs's form might have worsened.

Michael Vrbensky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michael Vrbensky's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robert Strombachs than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Robert Strombachs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michael Vrbensky, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Robert Strombachs - Michael Vrbensky Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Strombachs will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Vrbensky will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strombachs: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Strombachs (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Strombachs (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Strombachs (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Strombachs (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Strombachs is ranked ATP: 339. Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 630.

Recent performances by Strombachs have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vrbensky is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vrbensky may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Robert Strombachs
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Marko Topo - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Gabriele Piraino - Robert Strombachs	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Robert Strombachs - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
01.09.25	Robert Strombachs - Sergi Perez Contri	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Robert Strombachs - Filip Pieczonka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWW
- Michael Vrbensky
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Michael Vrbensky - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Jakub Nicod - Michael Vrbensky	Nicod J. retired ✺
07.09.25	David Pichler - Michael Vrbensky	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Kai Wehnelt - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Jacopo Vasami - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 L?WLL

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