Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Baton Rouge, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Robert Strombachs		Stefan Dostanic

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
			Watch
	3.75	1.23	Watch
	3.55	1.3
	3.70	1.23	Watch
	3.65	1.24	Watch
	3.4	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.46)	1.26 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robert Strombachs
25.7%

Stefan Dostanic
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robert Strombachs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Robert Strombachs's form might have worsened.

Stefan Dostanic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefan Dostanic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robert Strombachs than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Robert Strombachs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Dostanic than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefan Dostanic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Robert Strombachs - Stefan Dostanic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dostanic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4 Games - Dostanic (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Dostanic (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Strombachs (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Strombachs (votes: 1 - 25%). Dostanic (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Strombachs is ranked ATP: 431. Dostanic is ranked ATP: 505.

Recent form of Strombachs has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dostanic is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Strombachs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dostanic is a strong favorite.

We predict that Dostanic will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Robert Strombachs
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Tristan McCormick - Robert Strombachs	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
07.02.26	Roberto Cid Subervi - Robert Strombachs	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Nick Hardt - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.01.26	Stefan Kozlov - Robert Strombachs	Strombachs R. retired ✺
12.01.26	Robert Strombachs - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 W?L?L
- Stefan Dostanic
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Stefan Dostanic - Stefan Kozlov	Canceled ✺
09.02.26	Stefan Dostanic - Benjamin Thomas George	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Stefan Dostanic - Finn Bass	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Stefan Dostanic - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Christian Langmo - Stefan Dostanic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ?WWLW

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