Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MONTE CARLO (MONACO), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 April 2023, Wednesday


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.95	1.4
	2.9	1.42
	3.11	1.42
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.96	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.08)	1.41 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Bautista-Agut
32.3%

Alexander Zverev
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.9%	0%	73.1%

Roberto Bautista Agut - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Zverev will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bautista-Agut won 1.

Bautista-Agut is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zverev is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bautista-Agut could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zverev is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bautista-Agut won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Filip Krajinovic	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Mikael Ymer	Canceled ✺
ATP Estoril
06.04.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 W?LLL
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Alexander Bublik - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.23	Taro Daniel - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
14.03.23	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
10.03.23	Pedro Cachin - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Basel
26.10.18	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Beijing
02.10.18	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Halle
23.06.17	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Alexander Zverev	1:2
ATP Munich
06.05.17	Alexander Zverev - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0
ATP Rotterdam
09.02.15	Alexander Zverev - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2
ATP Hamburg
15.07.13	Alexander Zverev - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2

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