Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
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Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+


	Daniil Medvedev		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.77	2.06
	1.87	1.87	Watch
			Watch
	1.8	2.06	Watch
	1.74	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.87)	2.02 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
53.1%

Alexander Zverev
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 12 - 30.8%). Zverev will win (votes: 27 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 54.7% – 83.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Zverev (votes: 14 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 13. Zverev is ranked ATP: 3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 5.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Medvedev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:18. (average 1.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Paris
30.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Daniil Medvedev	Medvedev D. walkover ✺
28.10.25	Jaume Munar - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
23.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 W?WLW
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Paris
30.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
26.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Alexander Zverev	Zverev A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Beijing
29.09.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:0
ATP Halle
21.06.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:1
ATP Australian Open
26.01.24	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	3:2
ATP World Tour Finals
15.11.23	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:0
ATP Beijing
03.10.23	Alexander Zverev - Daniil Medvedev	0:2
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.23	Alexander Zverev - Daniil Medvedev	2:1
ATP Roma
16.05.23	Alexander Zverev - Daniil Medvedev	0:2

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