Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Arthur Bouquier

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.26	3.45
	1.3	3.41	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.33	3.41	Watch
	1.26	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.29)	3.5 ↑ (3.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
73.2%

Arthur Bouquier
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Arthur Bouquier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Arthur Bouquier Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bouquier (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roberto Carballes Baena will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Carballes Baena (votes: 4 - 80%). Bouquier (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 128. Bouquier is ranked ATP: 225.

Bouquier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Carballes Baena is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nerman Fatic	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Sumit Nagal - Roberto Carballes Baena	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
30.09.25	Tiago Torres - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWL?W
- Arthur Bouquier
ITF Tournaments
10.12.25	Arthur Bouquier - Alaa Trifi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Arthur Bouquier - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Arthur Bouquier - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
01.11.25	Arthur Bouquier - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.10.25	Arthur Bouquier - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

Roberto Carballes Baena - Arthur Bouquier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide