Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Colton Smith

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.26	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.36	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.46)	1.54 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
39.7%

Colton Smith
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Roberto Carballes Baena - Colton Smith Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carballes Baena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Carballes Baena (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carballes Baena (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 129. Smith is ranked ATP: 146.

Smith could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Roberto Carballes Baena - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.77%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nerman Fatic	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Sumit Nagal - Roberto Carballes Baena	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
30.09.25	Tiago Torres - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
23.09.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 L?W?W
- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
27.10.25	Colton Smith - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Colton Smith - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Colton Smith - Clement Tabur	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Colton Smith - Evan Furness	2:1 ✺
10.10.25	Colton Smith - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL

Roberto Carballes Baena - Colton Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide