Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 14 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max


	Roberto Carballes Baena		James Duckworth

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.29	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.66	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.95)	2.32 ↑ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
58.6%

James Duckworth
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roberto Carballes Baena's performance.

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and James Duckworth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roberto Carballes Baena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Duckworth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.4%	0%	40.6%

Roberto Carballes Baena - James Duckworth Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 18 - 58.1%). Duckworth will win (votes: 13 - 41.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 40.7% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 57. Duckworth is ranked ATP: 89.

Carballes Baena is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Duckworth is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Duckworth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Australian Open
12.01.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
08.01.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
07.01.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Lucas Pouille	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWW?
- James Duckworth
ATP Australian Open
12.01.25	James Duckworth - Dominic Stephan Stricker	3:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
06.01.25	James Duckworth - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Jacob Bradshaw - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
04.01.25	Pavel Kotov - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
27.12.24	James Duckworth - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL

Roberto Carballes Baena - James Duckworth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide