Match Info

Date: 2 October 2021, Saturday


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Mathias Bourgue

	1	2
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.22	3.9
	1.22	4.25	Watch
	1.2	3.9
	1.23	4.46
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.21	4.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	4.16 ↑ (3.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
77.4%

Mathias Bourgue
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roberto Carballes Baena's performance.

Mathias Bourgue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mathias Bourgue might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Mathias Bourgue Predictions

Users Predictions: Roberto Carballes Baena will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

In this match Carballes Baena is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
01.10.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Evan Furness	2:0 ✺
30.09.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
28.09.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
16.09.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
14.09.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW
- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
01.10.21	Andrea Collarini - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
30.09.21	Roberto Ortega-Olmedo - Mathias Bourgue	0:2 ✺
28.09.21	Jesper De Jong - Mathias Bourgue	0:2 ✺
08.09.21	Liam Broady - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
07.09.21	Laurent Lokoli - Mathias Bourgue	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.04.17	Mathias Bourgue - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1
12.02.16	Mathias Bourgue - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1
13.10.15	Mathias Bourgue - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2

Roberto Carballes Baena - Mathias Bourgue: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide