The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Roberto Carballes Baena 50.4%
Pablo Llamas Ruiz 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.5%
43.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Carballes Baena's form might have worsened.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pablo Llamas Ruiz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Llamas Ruiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Roberto Carballes Baena - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 110.Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 222.
Carballes Baena is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Llamas Ruiz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Llamas Ruiz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carballes Baena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.