Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Mitchell Krueger

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.64	2.23	Watch
	1.67	2.34
	1.62	2.35	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.22	Watch
	1.64	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)	2.27 ↑ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
58.1%

Mitchell Krueger
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Mitchell Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Mitchell Krueger Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Krueger will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 55. Krueger is ranked ATP: 140.

Carballes Baena in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Krueger is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Krueger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carballes Baena will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Carballes Baena to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Corentin Moutet - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
06.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
05.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:1 ✺
04.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW
- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.24	Mitchell Krueger - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
17.09.24	Mitchell Krueger - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.24	Mitchell Krueger - Jiri Lehecka	2:3 ✺
26.08.24	Hugo Grenier - Mitchell Krueger	1:3 ✺
22.08.24	Maximilian Marterer - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
27.08.18	Roberto Carballes Baena - Mitchell Krueger	3:1

Roberto Carballes Baena - Mitchell Krueger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide