Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bastad (Sweden) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	12:00	Max Sport 2
Finland	12:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	11:00	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	10:00	Sport TV3


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.68	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.29
	1.67	2.26	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.68	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)	2.24 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
57.4%

Roman Safiullin
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: Roberto Carballes Baena will win (25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.66% – 98.76%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carballes Baena in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Safiullin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Carballes Baena to win the game is with odds 1.83.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
13.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
12.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
10.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Lukas Klein	2:0 ✺
09.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.24	Arthur Fils - Roman Safiullin	3:2 ✺
04.07.24	Tomas Machac - Roman Safiullin	1:3 ✺
03.07.24	Roman Safiullin - Francisco Cerundolo	3:2 ✺
ATP Halle
17.06.24	Fabian Marozsan - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
11.06.24	Roman Safiullin - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL

Roberto Carballes Baena - Roman Safiullin

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Roberto Carballes Baena - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Preview

Form

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