Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Parma, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.70	2.05
	1.57	2.33	Watch
	1.72	2.20
	1.71	2.04	Watch
	1.67	2.10	Watch
	1.76	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.74)	2.13 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
56%

Stefano Travaglia
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roberto Carballes Baena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano Travaglia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Travaglia will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Travaglia (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 172. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 132.

Carballes Baena is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Travaglia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Carballes Baena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Carballes Baena will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carballes Baena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Roberto Carballes Baena - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.11%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Miguel Damas - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Jesper De Jong - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Francesco Forti	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Raul Brancaccio - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Gianmarco Ferrari - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWW
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Stefano Travaglia	Canceled ✺
02.06.26	Pierluigi Basile - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Stefano Travaglia - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Stefano Travaglia - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Melbourne Great Ocean Road Open
01.02.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Stefano Travaglia	1:2
ATP Gstaad
24.07.19	Roberto Carballes Baena - Stefano Travaglia	2:0
ATP Challenger
05.05.17	Stefano Travaglia - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1

Roberto Carballes Baena - Stefano Travaglia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide