Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Stefano Travaglia		Jacopo Vasami

	1	2
			Watch
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.62	2.42
	1.55	2.32	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)	2.29 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
59.1%

Jacopo Vasami
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Jacopo Vasami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefano Travaglia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacopo Vasami than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacopo Vasami could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Stefano Travaglia - Jacopo Vasami Predictions

Users Predictions: Stefano Travaglia will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 138. Vasami is ranked ATP: 465.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Travaglia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Travaglia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 59.01%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
29.05.26	Stefano Travaglia - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Stefano Travaglia - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Stefano Travaglia - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Michael Zheng - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW
- Jacopo Vasami
ATP Challenger
29.05.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Jacopo Vasami - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Jacopo Vasami - Giorgio Tabacco	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Jacopo Vasami - Enrico Dalla Valle	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Moise Kouame - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Stefano Travaglia - Jacopo Vasami	2:0

Stefano Travaglia - Jacopo Vasami: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide