Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham 4 - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 7 July 2025, Monday


	Rodrigo Alujas		Petros Tsitsipas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.29	1.61
			Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.66)	1.61 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodrigo Alujas
42%

Petros Tsitsipas
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodrigo Alujas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rodrigo Alujas's form might have worsened.

Petros Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petros Tsitsipas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Alujas than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodrigo Alujas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petros Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petros Tsitsipas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Rodrigo Alujas - Petros Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: Rodrigo Alujas will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rodrigo Alujas will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

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Preview

Alujas is ranked ATP: 795. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 1000.

Alujas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tsitsipas is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Alujas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Alujas
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Laurent Lokoli - Rodrigo Alujas	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Alexander Chepik	2:1 ✺
27.06.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
26.06.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Luca Fantini	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Andrea MChich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWW
- Petros Tsitsipas
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Petros Tsitsipas - Mika Lipp	1:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
21.06.25	Vit Kopriva - Petros Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.06.25	Clement Chidekh - Petros Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.06.25	Alexey Vatutin - Petros Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.05.25	Petros Tsitsipas - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Rodrigo Alujas - Petros Tsitsipas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide