Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Casablanca 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 June 2025, Friday


	Rodrigo Alujas		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
	2.65	1.4
	2.42	1.54
			Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.44	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.24)	1.46 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodrigo Alujas
36.3%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodrigo Alujas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rodrigo Alujas's form might have worsened.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mario Gonzalez Fernandez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Alujas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodrigo Alujas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Alujas is ranked ATP: 800. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 613.

Alujas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gonzalez Fernandez's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gonzalez Fernandez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gonzalez Fernandez might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Alujas
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Luca Fantini	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Andrea MChich	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Reda Bennani	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Adam Panaras	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLWL
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	Gonzalez Fernandez M. walkover ✺
25.06.25	Francesco Ferrari - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Yassine Dlimi - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Sergi Perez Contri - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:1 ✺
04.06.25	Julio Cesar Porras - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 ?WLLL

Rodrigo Alujas - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide