Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Manama 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	3.09	1.38
	7.04	1.07	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.99	1.34	Watch
	2.9	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.95)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
27.8%

Luca Nardi
72.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Luca Nardi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Nardi (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luca Nardi will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luca Nardi will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Nardi (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 234. Nardi is ranked ATP: 108.

Pacheco Mendez has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pacheco Mendez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nardi is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
23.01.26	Edas Butvilas - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Ergi Kirkin - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Maxwell McKennon - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Robin Bertrand	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Luca Nardi - Yibing Wu	1:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
10.01.26	Luca Nardi - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Viktor Durasovic - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
27.10.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	✺

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide