Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Chris Rodesch		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.69	2.02	Watch
	1.69	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.97)	2.06 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chris Rodesch
54.9%

Luca Nardi
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chris Rodesch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chris Rodesch's performance.

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Nardi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Chris Rodesch - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rodesch will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Nardi will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luca Nardi will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rodesch is ranked ATP: 207. Nardi is ranked ATP: 105.

Nardi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Nardi - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.24%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chris Rodesch
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Martin Damm - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Chris Rodesch - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Chris Rodesch - Justin Engel	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Titouan Droguet - Chris Rodesch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
07.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Viktor Durasovic - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Edas Butvilas - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Alexis Galarneau - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
13.10.25	Fabian Marozsan - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWWLL

Chris Rodesch - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide