Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Stefano Travaglia		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
			Watch
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	3.02	1.42
	3.06	1.33	Watch
			Watch
	2.84	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.99)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
31.1%

Luca Nardi
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Stefano Travaglia - Luca Nardi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Nardi (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nardi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 230. Nardi is ranked ATP: 81.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Travaglia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nardi is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Eero Vasa - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Stuart Parker	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Titouan Droguet - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Radovan Michalik - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Stefano Travaglia - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Viktor Durasovic - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Edas Butvilas - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Alexis Galarneau - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
13.10.25	Fabian Marozsan - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Luca Nardi - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWLLL

Stefano Travaglia - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide