Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday


	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.39	Watch
	3.06	1.41
	3.15	1.35	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.81	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.32)	1.39 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
32.8%

Marco Trungelliti
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez's form might have worsened.

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco Trungelliti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Pacheco Mendez (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3 Games - Trungelliti (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Marco Trungelliti will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marco Trungelliti will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Pacheco Mendez (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Trungelliti (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 266. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 177.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Trungelliti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Trungelliti will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
05.06.25	Sumit Nagal - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
02.06.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
26.05.25	Lukas Neumayer - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLL
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
05.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
02.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Marco Trungelliti - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Marco Trungelliti - Dino Prizmic	1:2 ✺
15.05.25	Marco Trungelliti - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLLW

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Marco Trungelliti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide