Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday


	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez		Roger Pascual Ferra

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.54
	1.41	2.65
	1.52	2.51
	1.48	2.46	Watch
	1.50	2.45
	1.46	2.53	Watch
	1.48	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.42)	2.52 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
63.1%

Roger Pascual Ferra
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Roger Pascual Ferra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roger Pascual Ferra than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roger Pascual Ferra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Roger Pascual Ferra Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pacheco Mendez will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pascual Ferra will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 320. Pascual Ferra is ranked ATP: 729.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pacheco Mendez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pacheco Mendez might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Los Cabos
29.07.26	Denis Shapovalov - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
02.07.26	Segundo Goity Zapico - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLW
- Roger Pascual Ferra
ATP Los Cabos
26.07.26	Aidan Mayo - Roger Pascual Ferra	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Roger Pascual Ferra - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.07.26	Roger Pascual Ferra - Andres Martin	1:2 ✺
21.07.26	Roger Pascual Ferra - Masamichi Imamura	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Stefan Kozlov - Roger Pascual Ferra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWLWW

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Roger Pascual Ferra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide