Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Los Cabos, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday


	Denis Shapovalov		Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.42	2.80
	1.39	2.95	Watch
	1.41	3.19
	1.4	2.97	Watch
	1.38	3.15
	1.44	2.79	Watch
	1.39	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)	2.96 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
67.8%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (-1%)

Denis Shapovalov - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Pacheco Mendez (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pacheco Mendez (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 68. Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 320.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Shapovalov is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Denis Shapovalov - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 69.55%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Los Cabos
29.07.26	Denis Shapovalov - Rinky Hijikata	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Denis Shapovalov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Shapovalov D. Retired ✺
ATP London
17.06.26	Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
08.06.26	Marin Cilic - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 W?LWL
- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Los Cabos
28.07.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
02.07.26	Segundo Goity Zapico - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Bruno Fernandez - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWW

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