Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez		Taro Daniel

	1	2
	2.25	1.57
	1.73	2
	2.27	1.55	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.23	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.72)	1.66 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
43.8%

Taro Daniel
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez's form might have worsened.

Taro Daniel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taro Daniel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taro Daniel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Taro Daniel Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pacheco Mendez will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Daniel will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 303. Daniel is ranked ATP: 451.

Pacheco Mendez is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Daniel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Daniel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Daniel will win today's game, with odds of 2.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Michael Mmoh - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Aryan Shah - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	Shah A. retired ✺
18.03.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.02.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 L?WLL
- Taro Daniel
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Taro Daniel - Michael Mmoh	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Taro Daniel - Andres Martin	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Facundo Mena - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Taro Daniel - Andres Andrade	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Jake Delaney - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWW

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Taro Daniel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide