Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.99	1.73
	2.09	1.8
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.09)	1.72 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
45.9%

Alexis Galarneau
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 300. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 219.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Galarneau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Galarneau will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pacheco Mendez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.4%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Alexis Galarneau - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.6%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.02.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Stefan Kozlov - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Alafia Ayeni - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Guillaume Dalmasso - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWW
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Gael Monfils - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Alexis Galarneau - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Andres Andrade - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Alexis Galarneau	2:0

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Alexis Galarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide