Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Munno F. (Bra)


	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.26
	3.6	1.25
	3.75	1.28
	3.75	1.29
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.37	1.3	Watch
	3.55	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.35)	1.28 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
26.4%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
73.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez's form might have worsened.

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pacheco Mendez will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Tirante will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pacheco Mendez: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Pacheco Mendez is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tirante is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pacheco Mendez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tirante is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tirante to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
04.04.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Antoine Bellier	2:1 ✺
26.03.24	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Roberto Cid Subervi	1:2 ✺
20.03.24	Tristan Boyer - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
18.03.24	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - James Kent Trotter	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
07.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Oliver Crawford	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide