Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TRIESTE (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 July 2023, Tuesday


	Roman Andres Burruchaga		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.42	2.8
	1.43	2.89
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.38	2.88	Watch
	1.39	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.58)	2.8 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Andres Burruchaga
66.5%

Andrey Chepelev
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Andres Burruchaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roman Andres Burruchaga's performance.

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Chepelev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Andres Burruchaga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Chepelev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Roman Andres Burruchaga - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Burruchaga will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Chepelev will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Chepelev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Burruchaga will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Challenger
08.07.23	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
07.07.23	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
05.07.23	Luciano Tacchi - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
03.07.23	Mateus Alves - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
20.06.23	Matias Soto - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWWL
- Andrey Chepelev
ATP Challenger
17.07.23	Kyrian Jacquet - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
16.07.23	Simone Agostini - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
11.07.23	Andrey Chepelev - Zdenek Kolar	1:2 ✺
10.07.23	Andrey Chepelev - Lorenzo Bocchi	2:0 ✺
09.07.23	Andrey Chepelev - Daniel Uta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWW

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