Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 6, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday


	Roman Andres Burruchaga		Christian Garin

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.58	Watch
	2.38	1.62
	2.29	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.06)	1.6 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Andres Burruchaga
41.3%

Christian Garin
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Andres Burruchaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roman Andres Burruchaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christian Garin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Roman Andres Burruchaga - Christian Garin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Garin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Christian Garin will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 135. Garin is ranked ATP: 153.

Burruchaga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Garin is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Burruchaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Garin will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Burruchaga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Roman Andres Burruchaga - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.24%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Giulio Zeppieri	2:1 ✺
14.05.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - James Kent Trotter	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
07.05.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW
- Christian Garin
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Christian Garin - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Elias Ymer - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Christian Garin - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Christian Garin - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.05.25	Christian Garin - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1

Roman Andres Burruchaga - Christian Garin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide