Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Elias Ymer		Christian Garin

	1	2
	2.10	1.67
	2.35	1.55
	2.10	1.68
	2.40	1.60
	2.14	1.68	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.27	1.60	Watch
	2.20	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.1)	1.62 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
42%

Christian Garin
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Elias Ymer - Christian Garin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 204. Garin is ranked ATP: 135.

Ymer has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ymer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ymer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Elias Ymer - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Franco Roncadelli - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Daniil Glinka - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Elias Ymer - Paul Jubb	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Federico Cina - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
25.07.26	Trevor Svajda - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL
- Christian Garin
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Spencer Johnson - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Christian Garin - Learner Tien	1:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
16.05.26	Henri Squire - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Christian Garin - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Christian Garin - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Elias Ymer - Christian Garin	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.22	Elias Ymer - Christian Garin	0:3

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