Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	Roman Andres Burruchaga		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
			Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.96	1.43
	1.93	1.79	Watch
	2.89	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3)	1.46 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Andres Burruchaga
34.9%

Mariano Navone
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Andres Burruchaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Andres Burruchaga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mariano Navone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Roman Andres Burruchaga - Mariano Navone Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Burruchaga (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Navone (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 107. Navone is ranked ATP: 72.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Navone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Navone could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Navone will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Burruchaga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWW
- Mariano Navone
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Marco Cecchinato - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
10.11.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Mariano Navone - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Mariano Navone - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Mariano Navone - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.06.23	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Mariano Navone	2:1
28.04.23	Mariano Navone - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0
06.03.23	Mariano Navone - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2

Roman Andres Burruchaga - Mariano Navone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide