Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday


	Roman Andres Burruchaga		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.26	3.5	Watch
	1.27	3.86
	1.28	3.31	Watch
			Watch
	1.27	3.41	Watch
	1.56	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.59)	3.33 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Andres Burruchaga
71.7%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Andres Burruchaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roman Andres Burruchaga's performance.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Andres Burruchaga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	0%	21.1%

Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Varillas (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Burruchaga (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roman Andres Burruchaga will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roman Andres Burruchaga will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Burruchaga (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Varillas (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 105. Varillas is ranked ATP: 330.

Burruchaga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Varillas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Burruchaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Burruchaga could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Burruchaga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Roman Andres Burruchaga - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.12%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
30.10.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Alessandro Rubini Garcia Belaunde	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWW
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
28.10.25	Zdenek Kolar - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Percy Buffara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.10.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2

Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide