Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Roman Safiullin		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.40	1.30
	3.64	1.27
	4.3	1.27
	3.8	1.27	Watch
	4.3	1.24
	3.75	1.28	Watch
	3.65	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (2.93)	1.27 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 39.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
24.7%

Joao Fonseca
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roman Safiullin's form might have worsened.

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Fonseca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roman Safiullin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Fonseca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Roman Safiullin - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Fonseca will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Safiullin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 132. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 27.

Safiullin has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Fonseca has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fonseca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fonseca is a strong favorite.

We predict that Safiullin will win today's game, with odds of 3.26.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Roman Safiullin - Botic Van De Zandschulp	3:2 ✺
29.06.26	Andrey Rublev - Roman Safiullin	2:3 ✺
25.06.26	Roman Safiullin - Jerome Kym	3:2 ✺
24.06.26	Roman Safiullin - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Roman Safiullin - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWWW
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Jesper De Jong - Joao Fonseca	0:3 ✺
29.06.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Joao Fonseca	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.26	Giles Hussey - Joao Fonseca	Canceled
ATP Halle
16.06.26	Joao Fonseca - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
02.06.26	Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WW?LL

Roman Safiullin - Joao Fonseca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide