Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Lopota 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday


	Rositsa Dencheva		Ekaterina Ovcharenko

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.1
	1.31	3.22
	1.32	3.19	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.31	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.35)	3.19 ↑ (2.98)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rositsa Dencheva
70.8%

Ekaterina Ovcharenko
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rositsa Dencheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Ekaterina Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rositsa Dencheva than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Rositsa Dencheva - Ekaterina Ovcharenko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dencheva is ranked WTA: 449. Ovcharenko is ranked WTA: 494.

Dencheva is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ovcharenko is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Dencheva is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rositsa Dencheva
ITF Tournaments
29.04.25	Rositsa Dencheva - Mariia Tkacheva	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Rositsa Dencheva - Franziska Sziedat	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Rositsa Dencheva	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Cristina Diaz Adrover - Rositsa Dencheva	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Hibah Shaikh - Rositsa Dencheva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW
- Ekaterina Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
29.04.25	Alexandra Shubladze - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Tara Wurth - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Ekaterina Ovcharenko - Noma Akugue Noha	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.03.25	Diana Simionescu - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Ekaterina Ovcharenko - Yelyzaveta Kotliar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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