Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Lopota, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Rositsa Dencheva		Mariia Tkacheva

	1	2
			Watch
	2.21	1.62
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.18	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.19)	1.62 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rositsa Dencheva
42.4%

Mariia Tkacheva
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rositsa Dencheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mariia Tkacheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rositsa Dencheva than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariia Tkacheva than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Rositsa Dencheva - Mariia Tkacheva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dencheva is ranked WTA: 432. Tkacheva is ranked WTA: 273.

Dencheva in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Tkacheva is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dencheva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tkacheva will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Dencheva to win the game is with odds 2.18.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rositsa Dencheva
ITF Tournaments
06.04.25	Rositsa Dencheva - Franziska Sziedat	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Rositsa Dencheva	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Cristina Diaz Adrover - Rositsa Dencheva	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Hibah Shaikh - Rositsa Dencheva	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Rositsa Dencheva - Alba Rey Garcia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW
- Mariia Tkacheva
ITF Tournaments
26.04.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Mariia Tkacheva	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Tereza Krejcova - Mariia Tkacheva	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Angelica Blake - Mariia Tkacheva	1:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
29.03.25	Mariia Tkacheva - Nicole Fossa Huergo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Mariia Tkacheva - Hanne Van De Winkel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL

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