Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Heraklion, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday


	Rositsa Dencheva		Jana Kovackova

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.51	1.54
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.47	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.56)	1.49 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rositsa Dencheva
37.7%

Jana Kovackova
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rositsa Dencheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Jana Kovackova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rositsa Dencheva than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rositsa Dencheva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jana Kovackova than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jana Kovackova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rositsa Dencheva - Jana Kovackova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dencheva is ranked WTA: 576. Kovackova is ranked WTA: 505.

Dencheva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kovackova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kovackova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kovackova might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rositsa Dencheva
ITF Tournaments
12.03.26	Rositsa Dencheva - Katharina Hobgarski	Hobgarski K. retired ✺
11.03.26	Selena Janicijevic - Rositsa Dencheva	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Rositsa Dencheva - Elena Korokozidi	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Darya Astakhova - Rositsa Dencheva	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Alena Kovackova - Rositsa Dencheva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 ?WWLW
- Jana Kovackova
ITF Tournaments
12.03.26	Natalija Senic - Jana Kovackova	Senic N. retired ✺
11.03.26	Jana Kovackova - Ayana Akli	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Jana Kovackova	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Jana Kovackova - Dalila Spiteri	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Sinja Kraus - Jana Kovackova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 ?WWLL

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