Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Louisville, KY, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Ryan Colby		Alexander Frusina

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.98
	1.58	2.23
	1.76	2.08
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.87	1.90
	1.70	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.58)	2.03 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Colby
54.1%

Alexander Frusina
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Colby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Alexander Frusina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Colby than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryan Colby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Frusina than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Frusina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ryan Colby - Alexander Frusina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Colby is ranked ATP: 659. Frusina is ranked ATP: 1227.

Colby is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Frusina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Colby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Colby will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Colby
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Mikael Arseneault - Ryan Colby	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Ryan Colby - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Ryan Colby - Duncan Chan	1:2 ✺
09.06.26	Pavle Marinkov - Ryan Colby	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.05.26	Ryan Colby - Christian Langmo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLL
- Alexander Frusina
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Alexander Frusina - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Alexander Frusina - Xavier Calvelo	2:0 ✺
03.07.26	Alexander Frusina - Aziz Ouakaa	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Andrea Paolini - Alexander Frusina	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Ali Habib - Alexander Frusina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW

Ryan Colby - Alexander Frusina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide