Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santander, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday


	Ryan Nijboer		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.42
			Watch
	2.71	1.44
	2.57	1.43	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.62	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2)	1.43 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Nijboer
35.3%

Alejandro Moro Canas
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Nijboer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryan Nijboer's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Moro Canas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryan Nijboer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ryan Nijboer - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moro Canas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nijboer is ranked ATP: 440. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 302.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Nijboer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Moro Canas will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nijboer won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.62%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Nijboer
ITF Tournaments
21.08.25	Ryan Nijboer - Lucca Helguera Casado	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Ryan Nijboer - Sergi Fita Juan	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Ryan Nijboer - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Ryan Nijboer - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ITF Tournaments
21.08.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Carles Cordoba - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Ryan Nijboer - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Jan Sebesta - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Alex Martinez Sanz - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.08.25	Ryan Nijboer - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0
ATP Challenger
25.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Ryan Nijboer	2:1
ITF Tournaments
08.12.22	Ryan Nijboer - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1

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