Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Ryan Nijboer		Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento

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Ryan Nijboer
87.1%

Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
12.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

85.9%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Nijboer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Nijboer is ranked ATP: 532. Alvarez Sarmiento is ranked ATP: 1556.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Nijboer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nijboer is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Nijboer
ITF Tournaments
02.09.26	Ryan Nijboer - Mario Arce Fernandez	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Ryan Nijboer - Carles Hernandez	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Ryan Nijboer - Tomas Curras Abasolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Ryan Nijboer - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW
- Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
ITF Tournaments
01.09.26	Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento - Jorge Lopez Dominguez	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Carles Hernandez - Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Oriol Font - Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento - Lorenzo Angelini	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Esteban Talavera Cortes - Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLW

Ryan Nijboer - Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento