Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 6, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday


	Ryan Nijboer		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.5	1.26
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.71	1.29
	3.62	1.27	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.47	1.28	Watch
	3.2	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.8)	1.3 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Nijboer
27.7%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Nijboer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryan Nijboer's form might have worsened.

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryan Nijboer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ryan Nijboer - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nijboer is ranked ATP: 408. Tirante is ranked ATP: 133.

Nijboer is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tirante has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nijboer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tirante is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.51%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Nijboer
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Ryan Nijboer - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Ryan Nijboer - Bekkhan Atlangeriev	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.05.25	Leo Borg - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Michele Ribecai - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Roma
05.05.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Tirante T. A. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LWWL

Ryan Nijboer - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide