Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.54	Watch
	1.45	2.5	Watch
	1.52	2.57
	1.48	2.58	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.68	Watch
	1.45	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.58)	2.55 ↑ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
63.3%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Tirante (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tirante (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 96. Tirante is ranked ATP: 134.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Carreno Busta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Carreno Busta could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Nuno Borges - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.04.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLL

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