Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Doha 3 (Qatar), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Ryan Peniston		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	2	1.7
	2.14	1.61
	2.13	1.68
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.22	1.6	Watch
	2.14	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2)	1.63 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Peniston
43.3%

Arthur Gea
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Peniston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Ryan Peniston - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Gea will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Peniston is ranked ATP: 449. Gea is ranked ATP: 444.

Recent matches Peniston is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gea is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Gea to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Peniston won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Peniston
ITF Tournaments
20.12.24	Matthew Summers - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
19.12.24	Amaury Raynel - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
17.12.24	Aliaksandr Liaonenka - Ryan Peniston	Liaonenka A. retired ✺
14.12.24	Ryan Peniston - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
13.12.24	Pavlo Tsitsipas - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WW?LW
- Arthur Gea
ITF Tournaments
20.12.24	Alex Knaff - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
19.12.24	Aldin Setkic - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
18.12.24	Abel Forger - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	Giovanni Fonio - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Ryan Peniston - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.12.24	Ryan Peniston - Arthur Gea	0:2

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