Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pozoblanco, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday


	Ryan Peniston		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.51	2.62
			Watch
			Watch
	1.43	2.6	Watch
	2	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.08)	2.37 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Peniston
59.9%

Mikhail Kukushkin
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryan Peniston's performance.

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mikhail Kukushkin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryan Peniston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mikhail Kukushkin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ryan Peniston - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Peniston will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kukushkin will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Peniston (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kukushkin (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Peniston is ranked ATP: 249. Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 197.

Peniston is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kukushkin's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Peniston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Mikhail Kukushkin - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.03%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
14.07.25	Ryan Peniston - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Ryan Peniston - Robin Catry	2:1 ✺
11.07.25	Ryan Peniston - Hamish Stewart	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Ryan Peniston - Henry Searle	2:1 ✺
08.07.25	Ryan Peniston - Ben Jones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Chris Rodesch	1:2 ✺
10.06.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL

Ryan Peniston - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide