Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2 (Greece) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday


	Ryan Peniston		Milos Karol

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.27	3.58
	1.3	3.33	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.29	3.39	Watch
	1.27	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.44)	3.36 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Peniston
72.4%

Milos Karol
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryan Peniston's performance.

Milos Karol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milos Karol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryan Peniston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milos Karol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ryan Peniston - Milos Karol Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Peniston will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Karol will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Peniston is ranked ATP: 406. Karol is ranked ATP: 432.

Peniston is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Karol is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Peniston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Peniston will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
09.03.25	Ryan Peniston - Preston Brown	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Stuart Parker - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Aslan Karatsev - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Ryan Peniston - Khumoun Sultanov	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Ryan Peniston - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW
- Milos Karol
ATP Challenger
09.03.25	Christos Glavas - Milos Karol	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Milos Karol - Henry Searle	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Milos Karol - Demetris Azoides	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Milos Karol - Stuart Parker	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.02.25	Yaroslav Demin - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL

Ryan Peniston - Milos Karol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide