Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos (Greece), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Aslan Karatsev		Ryan Peniston

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.52	2.37	Watch
	1.62	2.37
	1.56	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.52	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)	2.37 ↑ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aslan Karatsev
60.4%

Ryan Peniston
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ryan Peniston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Aslan Karatsev - Ryan Peniston Predictions

Users Predictions: Aslan Karatsev will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Karatsev is ranked ATP: 207. Peniston is ranked ATP: 406.

Recent matches Karatsev is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Peniston is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Peniston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Karatsev will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Challenger
06.03.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Dino Prizmic - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Aslan Karatsev - Petros Tsitsipas	Tsitsipas Pe. retired ✺
11.02.25	Jesper De Jong - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
05.02.25	Aslan Karatsev - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WW?LL
- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
06.03.25	Ryan Peniston - Khumoun Sultanov	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Ryan Peniston - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Ryan Peniston - Mark Whitehouse	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.02.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Ryan Peniston - Mili Poljicak	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Aslan Karatsev - Ryan Peniston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide