Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 30, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Ryo Tabata		Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez

	1	2
	1.4	2.65
	1.44	2.66
	1.63	2.12	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.41	2.73	Watch
	1.36	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.36)	2.58 ↓ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryo Tabata
64.1%

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryo Tabata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryo Tabata than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryo Tabata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Tabata is ranked ATP: 1173. Turriziani Alvarez is ranked ATP: 1010.

Tabata is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Turriziani Alvarez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Turriziani Alvarez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tabata is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryo Tabata
ITF Tournaments
27.07.25	Ryo Tabata - Mwendwa Mbithi	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Ryo Tabata - Markus Molder	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Ryo Tabata - Albert Pedrico Kravtsov	2:1 ✺
24.07.25	Igor Kudriashov - Ryo Tabata	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Ryo Tabata - Enzo Wallart	Wallart E. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWW?
- Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
ITF Tournaments
05.07.25	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Reda Bennani	0:2 ✺
04.07.25	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Lucio Ratti	2:1 ✺
03.07.25	Lorenzo Comino - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Andres Fernandez Canovas - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	0:2 ✺
27.06.25	Damian Wenger - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWL

Ryo Tabata - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide