Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 2 (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2024, Monday


	Ryuki Matsuda		Fajing Sun

	1	2
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	3.9	1.22
	4.1	1.19	Watch
	4.35	1.22
	4.05	1.22	Watch
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	4.32	1.19	Watch
	4.1	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (3.15)	1.2 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryuki Matsuda
22.3%

Fajing Sun
77.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryuki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryuki Matsuda's form might have worsened.

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fajing Sun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryuki Matsuda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fajing Sun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Ryuki Matsuda - Fajing Sun Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Matsuda will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sun will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 580. Sun is ranked ATP: 327.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Sun could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sun is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryuki Matsuda
ATP Challenger
14.10.24	Ryuki Matsuda - Mikalai Haliak	Haliak M. retired ✺
13.10.24	Ryuki Matsuda - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.09.24	Ryuki Matsuda - Yusuke Takahashi	0:2 ✺
16.09.24	Yua Taka - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
09.09.24	Ryuki Matsuda - Yuki Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 ?WLWL
- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
10.10.24	Fajing Sun - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
09.10.24	Mitchell Krueger - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Fajing Sun - Ramkumar Ramanathan	0:2 ✺
30.09.24	Borna Coric - Fajing Sun	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.09.24	Jie Cui - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWLWL

Ryuki Matsuda - Fajing Sun: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide